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Historical evidence shows that this rarely happens following a balancesheet recession. Such episodes often coincide with banking crises, which in turn tend to go hand in hand with much deeper recessions – balancesheet recessions – than those that characterise the average business cycle.
Had I suggested in 2007 that the Fed balancesheet expansion of $75 billion a month would have been considered "tightening" people would have thought I was nuts. Given there shouldn''t be a Fed in the first place, it would be more accurate to state " Yellen and Summers are uniquely unqualified for the job ". Here we are. The broad U.S.
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