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Fed BalanceSheet vs. Stock Market; Will QE Cause Inflation? Fed BalanceSheet vs. Stock Market. The risk premiums of risky securities have become unsustainably compressed in the process, and the Feds balancesheet has metastasized to $3.5 Fed BalanceSheet vs. Stock Market; Will QE Cause Inflation?
Many an economics and finance course later, I see that the layers of complexities to the 2008 financial crisis are innumerable. The senior slices of a CDO were considered to be safer because they had first priority on cashflows received from the pool of mortgages in the event of default. It all seemed so clear.
It could represent a hidden vulnerability, especially if backed by domestic currency cashflows derived from overextended sectors, such as property, or used for carry trades or other forms of speculative position-taking. Historical evidence shows that this rarely happens following a balancesheet recession.
In fact, 2018 may mark the first year shale producers will be able to fund future expansions of drilling programs through their own cashflow. Most major producers with large balancesheets will likely hedge their bets and attempt both. These increasingly efficient survivors now represent half of U.S.
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