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Oil’s Boom-and-Bust Cycle May Be Over. Here’s Why

Harvard Business

Unlike national oil companies and oil majors that typically take five to 10 years to develop conventional oil reserves, these independent and “unconventional” players have improved their drilling and fracturing technology to the point where they can respond within months to temporary spikes or dips in the market.

Cash Flow 131
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Start of a Global Currency Crisis?

MishTalk

To be fair, quite a few emerging market currencies as well as the currencies of developed countries that are large commodity exporters have been under pressure for some time. US Dollar Since mid-2008 the Lira collapsed from 1.03 to the US dollar, a collapse of 58%. Turkey''s deputy prime minister Ali Babacan Blames Fed Tapering.

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BIS Slams the Fed; Ridiculous Question of the Day: "Is The Fed Going To Attempt A Controlled Collapse?"

MishTalk

Historical evidence shows that this rarely happens following a balance sheet recession. In addition, official statistics may underestimate intangible investment (spending on research and development, training, etc), which has been gaining importance in serviced-based economies. Financial cycles differ from business cycles.

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Google Chrome Approaching World Domination?

MishTalk

Google took over in 2008, introducing its Chrome browser, which caught up with Firefox by 2012. Meanwhile, Internet Explorer is still despised by developers, who rightfully resent having to build in hacks for all those old but still supported versions. The fighting might have finally ended in 2014.

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940 Chinese Firms Halt Trading; China Allows Houses as Margin, Bans Use of Term "Equity Disaster"; Two Rules, Two Questions

MishTalk

Two Rules Every bubble eventually bursts The bigger the bubble the bigger the bust Central banks globally have blown the biggest bubble ever in the wake of the 2008 crash. Haitong Securities said late on Monday it would allocate Rmb15bn ($2.4bn) to tracker funds to help “maintain stable development” of the equity market. Where Next?

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Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market; Will QE Cause Inflation?

MishTalk

Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market; Will QE Cause Inflation? Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market. The risk premiums of risky securities have become unsustainably compressed in the process, and the Feds balance sheet has metastasized to $3.5 Minsky noted that ‘euphoria’ might develop at this stage.

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Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Michael Pettis on the China.

MishTalk

Chinese financial markets often seem less volatile than one would expect for a poor, developing country, largely because of administrative measures that intentionally or unintentionally suppress normal volatility. the country’s balance sheet, and this will mean not a collapse but. December 2008 (85). June 2008 (97).