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You can’t predict how the bursting of a Chinese realestate bubble plays out because it plays out in very small steps,” said Joel H. Rothstein, a partner in the Beijing office of the Paul Hastings law firm who specializes in Asian realestate. Here we are again, in another slowdown.
This idea has been echoed by some of the most influential figures in the business and finance world, including Professor Michael Porter, Michael Lewis, and Warren Buffett. These securities, which were backed by real-estate mortgages, were sold to investors as a safe investment.
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It could represent a hidden vulnerability, especially if backed by domestic currency cashflows derived from overextended sectors, such as property, or used for carry trades or other forms of speculative position-taking. Financing problems of non-financial corporations in EMEs can also feed into the banking system.
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